A week at NADA is usually enough to kill a few assumptions and sharpen a few others. This year's overwhelming takeaway wasn’t about the death of dealerships, EVs or the US market - it was about defensibility.
As the US Q4 earnings season kicks off, listed dealer groups are once again setting the tone for global automotive retail. The early read-across is familiar: revenues remain resilient, margins continue to normalise, and capital discipline is firmly back in focus.
This week's blog is shaped around Pantheon Macroeconomics' UK Webinar (22 Jan 2026) - full credit to their team for one of the clearest, most evidence-based reads of the UK macro backdrop I've seen in a while.
Venture capital didn’t recover in 2025. It split in two. One-half got $100M rounds, soaring valuations, and an infinite runway. The other half got ghosted.